ITEMS TO CONSIDER WHEN WAGERING ON QUARTER HORSE RACING
Following are some handicapping factors that can be used to
aid in placing a wager:
Straightaway American Quarter Horse racing is an all-out
burst of speed from the starting gate with every horse trying
to put a head in front at the finish. There is no time to
maneuver for position or come from behind in the final stretch
run as in Thoroughbred racing. Therefore, the experienced
handicapper can concentrate on speed, class, jockey/trainer
combinations and track conditions without having to spend time
trying to predict how the race will be run.
The American Quarter Horse may be America's most consistent
athlete. In 1993, American Quarter Horse wagering favorites
finished in the money (first, second or third) 71% of the
time, while winning 35%. Those are figures that can't be
claimed by Thoroughbred or Standardbred racing! But that's not
saying American Quarter Horse racing lacks the excitement of
winning long shots. With 39% of the horses finishing first,
second or third going off with odds of 5-1 or greater, you
know the exotic wagers must have paid some handsome rewards.
The key is knowing how to cash in on those rewards
yourself. But how? The answer is knowledge. If you're a smart
handicapper you'll do your homework by learning everything you
can about the horse, its rider, trainer, bloodline,
competition and even the surface the horse will run on.
1. Class. Class is probably the most important
factor in handicapping. Analyze everything you see, hear or
read in the context of class. In the most basic sense, class
refers to the ability to win, produce winners and develop high
quality, competitive races. Class not only involves
racehorses, but sires and dams, owners, breeders, trainers,
jockeys, races and even tracks. Think of class in terms of
levels of excellence and a competitive edge. Here's an example
of class in a racehorse compared to other athletes. During the
1987 National Football League strike, many talented athletes
replaced striking players. The replacements made for some
exciting Sunday afternoons. But only a few of the replacements
were able to keep their jobs when the striking players
returned. The reason? They were simply not up to the superior
play of the regulars. In other words, they were outclassed.
The same can be true of a racehorse. For instance, a horse
that may win with a fast time in claiming races would probably
lose when going against horses that regularly participate in
stakes race competition with similar race times. Here's how
class relates to a racetrack. A horse with a 96 speed index
and first place finish at Sunland Park is not necessarily the
same as a horse with a 96 speed index and first place finish
at Remington Park. Although both are two of American Quarter
Horse racing's finest racing facilities, Remington Park
emphasizes American Quarter Horse racing, carries many more
graded stakes and the average purse structure is significantly
higher, thus attracting more of American Quarter Horse
racing's premier performers.
2. Before Race Day Preparations. In order to
evaluate the entrants in any race, you'll need historical data
or past performances, as they are called.
3. Reading between the lines.
The past performance information for each horse in a race is
there in black and white for everyone wagering on the race to
follow. The only way you can out-handicap the competition is
if you can read between the lines.
4. RACE FREQUENCY.
As many as 10 of a horse's past races are listed by date
beginning with the most recent race. TIP - Look for excessive
or irregular layoffs between races which could indicate a
fitness problem that could keep the horse from running true to
form. Conversely, look for a history of regular layoffs with
an immediate return to peak form.
5. TRACK CONDITION.
Weather can change a track's condition quickly. Dirt tracks
are rated as follows: ft-fast; sy-sloppy; m-muddy; gd-good; sl-slow;
hy-heavy; fr-frozen. TIP - Horses that performed well in
conditions similar to today's could have the edge.
6. DISTANCE.
There are three types of races in American Quarter Horse
racing: short sprints of 220, 250, 300, 330 and 350 yards;
long sprints of 400, 440, 550 and 660 yards; and distance or
races around one turn of 770, 870 and 1,000 yards. TIP -
Determine the horse's suitability to today's distance. A horse
that performs well at short distances could fade during a
longer race. And conversely, a horse that breaks slowly but
performs well in the stretch may need the extra distance to
win. In some cases, American Quarter Horses, which have not
been top performers at short or long sprints, may become
competitive at 870 yards.
7. TYPES OF RACES.
Maiden, Speed Index, Trial, Claiming, Allowance, Handicap and
Stakes. You'll find a more complete description later and in
the glossary. TIP - Think of race classifications as levels of
the class of horse they attract with stakes races being the
highest and $2,000 maiden claiming the lowest. The conditions
of a race (non-winners of two, three or four) or claiming
prices ($2,000-$20,000) are significant differences in the
same type of race.
8. POST POSITION.
At certain times or conditions, tracks might have surfaces
which favor the inside, middle or outside post positions. Most
programs list the percentage of wins from each post position.
Some horses also favor certain post positions. TIP - On races
around the turn, unless a horse has a great deal of early
speed to go to the front and take the inside rail, an outside
post position is definitely a disadvantage. A fast-breaking
horse that usually wins when it breaks first can have an edge
when positioned with room to run. Look for horses that break
well with a post position between two horses that generally do
not get away fast. In straightaway races, the one hole is
generally a disadvantage, while the outside might be an
advantage.
9. POSITION CALLS.
A horse's position during a race and its lengths behind the
front-runner are generally described at four locations along
the race: the break call at two strides or ten yards from the
starting gate; the first stretch call at the 1/8 pole or 220
yards from the finish; the second stretch call at the 1/16
pole or 110 yards from the finish; and at the finish. TIP -
Positioning and ability to make up ground can reveal a lot
about the horse you're evaluating; his suitability to today's
distance; and a pattern of improvement as the race progresses.
10. MEDICATIONS.
The two types of legally permitted medications are Bute and
Lasix. Bute is an anti-inflammatory drug used to reduce
stiffness. Lasix is a diuretic used to treat respiratory
bleeding some athletes experience. TIP - If a horse is on the
first-time Lasix list and has shown good early performance in
past races but has faded toward the end, the effects of Lasix
might make a difference in his next race.
11. EQUIPMENT.
The symbol "b" indicates the horse wore blinkers
during a race. TIP - A horse which has been running
erratically and shows to be wearing blinkers for the first
time might be a good wager.
12. WEIGHT.
The total amount of weight a horse is required to carry
(including jockey and tack). TIP - In American Quarter Horse
racing, weight is not a major factor in the shorter races.
However, in races of 440 yards or more, it does have some
importance. The horses with the best performance records may
be required to carry the most weight in an attempt to make a
more even contest. Look for a horse's ability to carry more
weight in his previous races.
13. TIME and INDIVIDUAL TIME.
The time of the race (the winner's time) and the time of the
individual horse are shown in seconds and hundredths of
seconds. TIP - Use best recent times at today's distance,
conditions and racetrack. Keep the different elements of class
in mind while making your comparisons.
14. SPEED INDEX.
The speed index is an evaluation of a horse's speed in a race
versus the three fastest winning times for the same distance
each year for the previous three years at the same racetrack.
TIP - An average of best recent speed indexes is a good basis
for comparison. Again, keep the elements of class, wind and
track condition in mind.
15. JOCKEYS.v
At any given track, there is a broad range of talent.
Generally speaking, the best horses will have the best riders
(ones who can be found on the leading rider list in your
program). TIP - Jockey changes can affect the outcome of a
race. For instance, if you note that a leading jockey has been
taken off his regular mount and switched to another, you could
have a better chance of a winning wager on his new mount.
16. TRAINERS.
As with jockeys, any given track will have a broad range of
trainers, with varying degrees of expertise and experience.
TIP - Pay attention to their winning percentages, not just
their total wins, as a good trainer with a few horses will
never lead the trainer's list. Try to keep track of a
trainer's ability with different classes or ages of horses.
Some trainers are better with claiming horses, while others
concentrate on stakes performers.
17. BREEDING.
A listing of horse's sire, dam and dam's sire. TIP - As a
general rule, pedigree has a significant influence on a
horse's natural ability to run. Keep note of the leading sires
and dams as well as breeders and owners when considering
class. This is especially true when handicapping two-year-olds
and first-time starters.
18. MONEY LINE.
The number of starts, wins, places (second), shows (thirds)
and purse money won this year and last year. The lifetime
total of wins and in-the-money (first, seconds and thirds) and
lifetime purse money. TIP - Can be an indication of
improvement or deterioration and class. Compare percentages of
wins, in-the-money or average money earned per start.
GLOSSARY OF KEY TERMS
Blanket Finish - Or photo-finish in which two or
more horses are very close at finish (one can "Throw a
blanket over them"). Very common in American Quarter
Horse racing.
Bullring - A racetrack with either a half-mile or
5/8ths mile oval.
Register of Merit - A Register of Merit is designed
to establish a record of outstanding performance. There are
three Registers of Merit- one for racing, one for halter and
one for performance events- but not a separate Register of
Merit for each performance event. A horse has received at
least one official Speed Index Rating of 80 or higher in
racing. Qualified horses registered with the Jockey Club of
New York City will be listed and treated as racing Register of
Merit qualifiers for all purposes except that they shall not
receive a certificate of Register of Merit or year-end awards.
Until 1956 a Grade A was a 75 or better speed index, 1957 to
1975 Grade AA was an 85 or better. From 1976 to 1985 a
Register of merit could be earned by an 80 or better speed
index or by earning 10 racing points. From 1986 to present a
Register of Merit could only be earned by a speed index of 80
or better.
| TAAA- |
100 |
| AAA- |
95 |
| AA-
|
85
|
| A-
|
75
|
| B-
|
65
|
| C-
|
55
|
| D-
|
45
|
Schooling Race - A non-pari-mutuel preparatory race,
which conforms to requirements adopted by the state racing
commission.
Tongue Strap - Strap or tape bandage used to tie
down a horse's tongue to prevent choking in a race or workout.
Trial - Race in which eligible horses compete to
determine the finalists in a nomination race.
|